This follows from the current election survey of the STEM agency, which was published in the Sunday program Partie TV Prima.
According to him, neither the current government’s TOP 09 nor KDU-ČSL would get into the House of Representatives independently, the former would get only 3.7 percent of the votes and the latter a percentage less. In total, according to the STEM survey, the current TOTAL coalition would have 20.6 percent.
It also follows from the published results that the Přísaha movement would end up just short of being elected to the House of Representatives with 4.6 percent, Motorists themselves with 3.2 percent and Socdem with 2.6 percent would also remain outside the lower chamber. Less than two percent of the votes have Svobodní, the Greens and the Tricolor.
So, behind the first ANO (32.1) and the second ODS (14.2), representatives of the third movement STAN with 10.6 percent, the fourth SPD with 9.4 percent, the fifth Pirates with 5.9 percent and the sixth KSČM with 5.3 percent.
Pirate preferences fall
Paradoxically, compared to the previous survey of the same STEM agency from June this year, ANO lost slightly, namely 0.8 percentage points, while ODS lost 0.6 percentage points. Electoral preferences fall most significantly to the Pirates, who recently left the government coalition. While now they would get the mentioned 5.9 percent, in June it was still 8.7 percent, i.e. almost three percentage points more.
On the contrary, the Starostové and independents (STAN) significantly strengthened in four months, from 6.8 percent in June to 10.6, i.e. by almost four percentage points. The opposition SPD also increased its chances of succeeding in the elections, which, according to STEM, would vote 7.3 percent in June and 9.4 percent in October, which is an improvement of more than two percentage points for the movement led by Tomie Okamura.
The Communists remained more or less at the same level as in June, they strengthened by 0.2 percentage points.
No single-color government yet
According to the director of the STEM agency, Martin Buchtík, it does not yet look like ANO, led by former Prime Minister Andrej Babiš, could form a one-color government in next year’s elections.
“I don’t think it’s a likely scenario at the moment, even in a year a lot can change. Rather than how many percentages Andrej Babiš will get in the elections, it will be about how many percent of the votes he will lose in the elections. If it will be 20 percent of the voters’ votes, which means that they will vote mostly for parties that will not get into the parliament in the end, then the recount could work out for Babiš,” said Prima Buchtík on TV.
At the same time, however, he pointed out that in the past potential coalition partners of ANO fell below five percent, so according to the head of STEM, Babiš could “play the trick” in this regard.
“He could stop at 98 seats, for example, but he would hypothetically have no coalition partner with whom he would really like to form a government,” added Buchtík.
Kantar has similar results
On Sunday, a Kantar agency survey for Czech Television was also published. ANO won 35.5 percent of the votes in it. ODS finished second with the support of 14.5 percent of the voters.
Compared to the June survey, the STAN movement significantly strengthened with 13 percent, followed by the SPD with a gain of 6.5 percent of the vote. According to this model, the Pirates would also get into the House, to which he assigned exactly five percent of the votes.